You work for a marketing firm that has a large client in the automobile industry, You have been asked to estimate the proportion of households in Chicago that have two or more vehicles. You have been assigned to gather a random sample that could be used to estimate this proportion to within a 0.035 margin of error at a 98\% level of confidence.
a) With no prior research, what sample size should you gather in order to obtain a 0.035 margin of error? Round your answer up to the nearest whole number.
b) Your firm has decided that your plan is too expensive, and they wish to reduce the sample size required. You conduct a small preliminary sample, and you obtain a sample proportion of
Final Answer: For part a), the sample size needed is
Step 1 :The problem is asking for the sample size needed to estimate the proportion of households in Chicago that have two or more vehicles with a margin of error of 0.035 at a 98% confidence level.
Step 2 :For part a), we don't have any prior information about the proportion, so we'll use the most conservative estimate, which is 0.5. This is because the variance of a binomial distribution (which is what we're dealing with when we're talking about proportions) is highest when p = 0.5.
Step 3 :For part b), we have a preliminary estimate of the proportion, which is 0.18. We'll use this to calculate the required sample size.
Step 4 :The formula for the sample size needed to estimate a proportion with a given margin of error at a certain confidence level is:
Step 5 :Substituting the values into the formula, we get:
Step 6 :For part b), substituting the values into the formula, we get:
Step 7 :Final Answer: For part a), the sample size needed is