Problem

A random sample of 1003 adult Americans was asked, "Do you pretty much think televisions are a necessity or a luxury you could do without?" Of the 1003 adults surveyed, 521 indicated that televisions are a luxury they could do without. Construct and interpret a $95 \%$ confidence interval for the population proportion of adult Americans who believe that televisions are a luxury they could do without.
Determine the assumptions needed to construct a confidence interval for the population proportion of adult Americans who believe that televisions are a luxury they could do without. Check all that apply (only choose three).
$n> 30$
SRS
$n< 0.05 N$
population normal
$n p(1-p)> 10$
data normal without outliers

Answer

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Answer

Final Answer: The 95% confidence interval for the population proportion of adult Americans who believe that televisions are a luxury they could do without is approximately \(\boxed{(0.488, 0.550)}\). The assumptions needed to construct this confidence interval are n>30, SRS, and n p(1-p)>10.

Steps

Step 1 :Given that a random sample of 1003 adult Americans was surveyed, and 521 indicated that televisions are a luxury they could do without. We are asked to construct a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion of adult Americans who believe that televisions are a luxury they could do without.

Step 2 :First, we calculate the sample proportion (p̂) which is the number of successes (people who think TV is a luxury) divided by the total number of trials (total people surveyed).

Step 3 :Using the given data, we have n = 1003 and x = 521. Therefore, the sample proportion p̂ = x/n = 521/1003 = 0.519.

Step 4 :Next, we calculate the standard error of the proportion. The formula for the standard error of a proportion is \(\sqrt{\frac{p̂(1 - p̂)}{n}}\), where n is the sample size.

Step 5 :Substituting the values, we get the standard error se = \(\sqrt{\frac{0.519(1 - 0.519)}{1003}}\) = 0.0158.

Step 6 :We then use the Z-score for a 95% confidence interval, which is approximately 1.96, to calculate the margin of error. The margin of error is the Z-score times the standard error.

Step 7 :Substituting the values, we get the margin of error me = 1.96 * 0.0158 = 0.0309.

Step 8 :We can now calculate the confidence interval by subtracting and adding the margin of error from/to the sample proportion.

Step 9 :Subtracting the margin of error from the sample proportion, we get the lower limit of the confidence interval ci_lower = 0.519 - 0.0309 = 0.488.

Step 10 :Adding the margin of error to the sample proportion, we get the upper limit of the confidence interval ci_upper = 0.519 + 0.0309 = 0.550.

Step 11 :Therefore, the 95% confidence interval for the population proportion of adult Americans who believe that televisions are a luxury they could do without is approximately (0.488, 0.550). This means that we are 95% confident that the true population proportion lies within this interval.

Step 12 :For the assumptions needed to construct a confidence interval for the population proportion, we need to check the following: n>30, SRS (Simple Random Sample), and n p(1-p)>10.

Step 13 :Given that our sample size is 1003 which is greater than 30, the assumption n>30 is satisfied.

Step 14 :We assume that the sample of 1003 adult Americans was randomly selected, so the SRS assumption is satisfied.

Step 15 :We also assume that the sample size is less than 5% of the population size, so the assumption n<0.05 N is satisfied.

Step 16 :Finally, we check the assumption n p(1-p)>10. Substituting the values, we get n*p(1-p) = 1003*0.519*(1-0.519) = 249.8 which is greater than 10. So, this assumption is also satisfied.

Step 17 :Thus, the assumptions that apply are n>30, SRS, and n p(1-p)>10.

Step 18 :Final Answer: The 95% confidence interval for the population proportion of adult Americans who believe that televisions are a luxury they could do without is approximately \(\boxed{(0.488, 0.550)}\). The assumptions needed to construct this confidence interval are n>30, SRS, and n p(1-p)>10.

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