Problem

EXERC ICE 2
Soit le modèle ARMA(1,1) suivant: Yt=0,5Yt1+εt+0,4εt1. avec σε2=3
1. Ce modèle est-il stationnaire?
2. Ce modèle est-il inversible?
3. Calculer la suite γ0,γ1,γ2,,γ5
4. Calculer la suite R1,R2,,R5.
5. Calculer les coefficients ψ1,ψ2,,ψ5 du modèle MA() correspondants.
6. Calculer les coefficients π1,π2,,π5 du modèle AR() correspondants.

Answer

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Answer

6. Calculate πj for j=1 to j=5 using the formula πj=ψj1+0.4ψj210.42, where ψj are the coefficients from the corresponding MA() model.

Steps

Step 1 :1. Stationary: Check if |0.5|<1, as the condition for Yt=0.5Yt1+εt+0.4εt1 to be stationary.

Step 2 :2. Invertible: Check if |0.4|<1, as the condition for Yt=0.5Yt1+εt+0.4εt1 to be invertible.

Step 3 :3. Calculate γk for k=0 to k=5 using the formula γk=σ2j=0ψjψj+k, where σ2=3 and ψj are the coefficients from the corresponding MA() model.

Step 4 :4. Calculate Rk for k=1 to k=5 using the formula Rk=γkγ0.

Step 5 :5. Calculate ψj for j=1 to j=5 using the formula ψj=πj1+0.5πj210.52, where πj are the coefficients from the corresponding AR() model.

Step 6 :6. Calculate πj for j=1 to j=5 using the formula πj=ψj1+0.4ψj210.42, where ψj are the coefficients from the corresponding MA() model.

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